Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 1.688239 1.926713 2.188517 2.497533 2.852674 3.248480 3.723663
2025-09-14 1.361521 1.677768 2.053661 2.534495 3.134882 3.861958 4.812533
2025-09-21 1.111645 1.460637 1.904044 2.511161 3.324691 4.382595 5.871503
2025-09-28 0.906503 1.258227 1.731379 2.418374 3.397113 4.751480 6.785294
2025-10-05 0.816944 1.191353 1.721697 2.533909 3.757662 5.550562 8.409187
2025-10-12 0.746197 1.137471 1.718017 2.651004 4.130010 6.412717 10.258085
2025-10-19 0.675053 1.070791 1.682998 2.710697 4.416817 7.178207 12.070718
2025-10-26 0.612541 1.007584 1.642513 2.751918 4.673823 7.924459 13.960872
2025-11-02 0.539933 0.917611 1.545864 2.684060 4.733486 8.341510 15.335746
2025-11-09 0.467103 0.817617 1.419130 2.545340 4.645903 8.482094 16.218250
2025-11-16 0.421878 0.759853 1.357631 2.513257 4.744074 8.967060 17.820362
2025-11-23 0.380722 0.704298 1.293032 2.465941 4.804706 9.384931 19.347698
2025-11-30 0.362327 0.689975 1.304722 2.570281 5.184783 10.499192 22.537612
2025-12-07 0.337941 0.661370 1.286078 2.612749 5.447392 11.417548 25.477349
2025-12-14 0.309177 0.620716 1.239022 2.590949 5.572556 12.066222 27.932449
2025-12-21 0.276507 0.568334 1.162208 2.496231 5.526138 12.333984 29.549778
2025-12-28 0.267452 0.563803 1.183383 2.616324 5.976245 13.785732 34.289169
2026-01-04 0.258945 0.559359 1.204039 2.737783 6.447196 15.358616 39.630010
2026-01-11 0.246195 0.544100 1.199215 2.799723 6.785192 16.663285 44.520334
2026-01-18 0.233095 0.526518 1.187052 2.842471 7.082049 17.911205 49.497153
2026-01-25 0.213473 0.491755 1.131549 2.772322 7.082525 18.397021 52.426747
2026-02-01 0.191167 0.448286 1.050845 2.628842 6.871336 18.289795 53.612147
2026-02-08 0.177727 0.424636 1.015028 2.595668 6.950541 18.985423 57.343105